According to QCP (@QCPgroup), markets have steadied following the postponement of the tariff deadline to July 9. However, this event highlights how quickly market conditions can shift. The $BTC July–June volatility spread, which had exceeded 2 vols last week, has now compressed to below 1. This contraction indicates that traders are preparing for a potential new policy pivot, signaling heightened sensitivity to macroeconomic events in crypto markets (Source: QCPgroup on Twitter, May 26, 2025).

According to Crypto Rover, the United States has postponed the implementation of a 50% tariff on European Union goods until July 9 as trade negotiations continue (source: Crypto Rover on Twitter, May 26, 2025). This delay reduces immediate volatility risks in global markets, including cryptocurrencies, by temporarily easing concerns over a potential escalation in the US-EU trade dispute. Crypto traders should monitor upcoming policy changes and market sentiment, as renewed tariff threats or negotiation breakdowns could trigger increased volatility in Bitcoin and major altcoins due to their sensitivity to macroeconomic events.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the US experienced a major credit rating downgrade in 2011 when S&P reduced its rating from AAA to AA+. This event triggered an approximately 8% drop in the S&P 500 over two months and saw the 10-year Treasury yield fall by as much as 35% within the same period (source: The Kobeissi Letter, May 17, 2025). For crypto traders, historical data shows that such macro shocks often drive increased volatility and inflows into Bitcoin and alternative digital assets, as investors seek non-sovereign stores of value following sharp equity and bond market moves. This context is critical for anticipating crypto market reactions to any future US credit rating actions.

According to Crypto Rover, the FOMC rate cut decision is scheduled for today at 2PM UTC, an event that typically triggers significant volatility across the cryptocurrency markets as traders adjust positions in response to changing interest rate environments (source: @rovercrc on Twitter, May 7, 2025). Historically, rate cuts have led to increased liquidity and risk-on sentiment, potentially boosting Bitcoin and altcoin prices. Traders should closely monitor Bitcoin price action and altcoin market reactions around the FOMC announcement for optimal entry and exit opportunities.

According to Miles Deutscher, several key macroeconomic events next week could impact cryptocurrency markets. On Monday, Manufacturing PMIs will be released, which could influence market sentiment. Tuesday sees a tariff deadline for Mexico and Canada that could affect cross-border trade dynamics. Wednesday's ADP employment report and Non-manufacturing PMIs may offer insights into economic health, potentially affecting investor confidence. Thursday's US jobless claims provide a snapshot of labor market conditions, while Friday's Employment Situation report could significantly influence market volatility. Traders should monitor these events closely for potential impacts on cryptocurrency valuations.

According to @GreeksLive, significant macro events are scheduled for Thursday and Friday this week, coinciding with the quarterly delivery. The crypto market experienced a substantial decline today, leading to a notable increase in the implied volatility (IV) of Bitcoin options for the month.